The short answer is yes. In our estimation, roughly 70% of today's PR firms with their traditional public relations and communications business structures will not survive the fast-approaching social media avalanche. The remaining 30% that need to reinvent their position real fast in their newly morphed industry will prosper, compared to where they were and what they were doing before.
This is one of the most provocative quotes I've seen posted for a long time.
Even more provocative is the author's assertion that "the new social media tools do not mean Facebook, Twitter or LinkedIn. I am talking about the tools that do not exist yet or are not widely known today. Today's popular platforms will never pass the stage of mass spam tools; their non-existent effectiveness will be proven null before the end of this year."
Of course, the author has a vested interest in raising the FUD factor in the PR community, battered as it is by the disruptive tsunami of social media and the steady decline and influence of its traditional print platforms.
"Why?", you may ask. Well Fuat Kircaali is CEO of Ulitzer, a new media platform with an innovative model, which he suggests will change the game. Forever.
Well, maybe. Maybe not.
What is beyond dispute, is that disruption upon disruption is pretty unsettling, even for the most astute of media professionals.
So when Kircaali suggests that "Tomorrow's (and I mean tomorrow, not the next decade) marketing game will be played on professional corporate blogging platforms. The companies with the largest number of well-read and respected corporate bloggers will win the marketing and propaganda games." ... you get a sense of the sort of changes in store for the world of business.
Kircaali envisages that larger companies will need larger armies of corporate bloggers, suggesting that the new job description of "professional corporate blogger" will be a very popular one.
"To be or not to be, that is the question for the PR firms that will hit the wall at this stage. The ones who are equipped to provide those services whose job descriptions are not yet defined will be tomorrow's brave new PR companies.
Other than that, the day the new SEC, under the White House 2.0 Obama administration, answers the question Jonathan Schwartz asked three years ago, will be the end for most PR companies."
And that, might be the end of the beginning.
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